SimpleFunctions

Markets · Series

NBA Team Point Total Markets — 16 contracts, SF signal on every row.

16 live Kalshi contracts (53 audited). Median implied probability sits at 49%. 30 contracts moved 5cents+ in the last 24h (biggest: KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26JUN05NYKSAS-SAS98 +63c). Refreshed every 5 minutes.

Fit: mean deviation 37.8pp · cheapest KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26JUN05NYKSAS-NYK114.

Analytics view (term structure, fitted hazard rate, per-bucket deviations): /yield-curves/KXNBATEAMTOTAL.

Series JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/series/KXNBATEAMTOTAL
Term curve JSON
GET/api/public/yield-curves/KXNBATEAMTOTAL
›example response
{
  "scope": {
    "type": "series",
    "slug": "KXNBATEAMTOTAL",
    "label": "NBA Team Point Total Markets"
  },
  "live": {
    "contractCount": 16,
    "volume24hSum": 2376.96,
    "hasThesisCount": 0
  },
  "termFit": {
    "seriesType": "unknown",
    "hazardRate": 0.12294
  }
}
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 04 Jun 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$2.4K-92%
min $28max $127.9K
Breadth100%+80.0pp
min -100%max 100%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 14:30 UTC
May 28past 7d · UTCJun 4 · 06:23

Live contracts

16

Median IY

49¢

implied prob (YES)

24h volume

$2.4K

Days to catalyst

none

no scheduled catalyst

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

+63¢

KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26JUN05NYKSAS-SAS98

NBA Team Point Total Markets — liquidity topography (top 13 of 16 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = annualized %. Range: 417.4 → 15828.7%

$10$100$1,0001d7d15828.78123.1417.4

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in NBA Team Point Total Markets

Showing top 16 of 16

Sortable on every numeric column. Every row carries the SF indicator stack — bounded for readability, raw value on hover.

Will New York score over 105.5 points?: New York over 105.5 points scored46¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$1.3K
Will San Antonio score over 110.5 points?: San Antonio over 110.5 points scored43¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$348
Will San Antonio score over 101.5 points?: San Antonio over 101.5 points scored73¢
IY 875%Cliff 3Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$216
Will New York score over 102.5 points?: New York over 102.5 points scored52¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol —Resid —$165
Will New York score over 99.5 points?: New York over 99.5 points scored61¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$98
Will San Antonio score over 116.5 points?: San Antonio over 116.5 points scored28¢
IY >999%Cliff 3Edge —RVol —Resid —$55
Will New York score over 96.5 points?: New York over 96.5 points scored71¢
IY 966%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$51
Will New York score over 108.5 points?: New York over 108.5 points scored30¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$48
Will San Antonio score over 107.5 points?: San Antonio over 107.5 points scored52¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol —Resid —$37
Will San Antonio score over 104.5 points?: San Antonio over 104.5 points scored62¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$6
Will San Antonio score over 98.5 points?: San Antonio over 98.5 points scored85¢
IY 417%Cliff 6Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$5
Will New York score over 93.5 points?: New York over 93.5 points scored73¢
IY 875%Cliff 3Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$4
Will New York score over 114.5 points?: New York over 114.5 points scored13¢
IY >999%Cliff 7Edge —RVol —Resid —$1
Will New York score over 111.5 points?: New York over 111.5 points scored22¢
IY >999%Cliff 4Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Will San Antonio score over 113.5 points?: San Antonio over 113.5 points scored31¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Will San Antonio score over 119.5 points?: San Antonio over 119.5 points scored13¢
IY >999%Cliff 7Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$0
16 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in NBA Team Point Total Markets

From market_changes
10h agoKalshi
Will San Antonio score over 98.5 points?: San Antonio over 98.5 points scored
75¢12→75 (+63)
open →
10h agoKalshi
Will New York score over 93.5 points?: New York over 93.5 points scored
73¢12→73 (+61)
open →
10h agoKalshi
Will New York score over 96.5 points?: New York over 96.5 points scored
69¢11→69 (+58)
open →
10h agoKalshi
Will San Antonio score over 101.5 points?: San Antonio over 101.5 points scored
69¢12→69 (+57)
open →
10h agoKalshi
Will San Antonio score over 104.5 points?: San Antonio over 104.5 points scored
59¢12→59 (+47)
open →
10h agoKalshi
Will New York score over 99.5 points?: New York over 99.5 points scored
58¢12→58 (+46)
open →
10h agoKalshi
Will San Antonio score over 107.5 points?: San Antonio over 107.5 points scored
49¢12→49 (+37)
open →
10h agoKalshi
Will New York score over 102.5 points?: New York over 102.5 points scored
47¢12→47 (+35)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 04 Jun 2026 14:08:23 GMT.

Term-structure analytics

Probability vs tenor curve and per-bucket deviation analysis. /yield-curves/KXNBATEAMTOTAL →

Category view

All Kalshi Sports markets. /markets/category/sports →

Venue view

Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →