SimpleFunctions

Markets · Series

2026 FIFA World Cup Halftime Performer Markets — 15 contracts, SF signal on every row.

15 live Kalshi contracts (62 audited). Median implied probability sits at 3%. 9 contracts moved 5cents+ in the last 24h (biggest: KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME-26-COL +19c). Refreshed every 5 minutes.

Fit: mean deviation 2.5pp · cheapest KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME-26-ED · richest KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME-26-COL.

Analytics view (term structure, fitted hazard rate, per-bucket deviations): /yield-curves/KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME.

Series JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/series/KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME
Term curve JSON
GET/api/public/yield-curves/KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME
›example response
{
  "scope": {
    "type": "series",
    "slug": "KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME",
    "label": "2026 FIFA World Cup Halftime Performer Markets"
  },
  "live": {
    "contractCount": 15,
    "volume24hSum": 4,
    "hasThesisCount": 0
  },
  "termFit": {
    "seriesType": "unknown",
    "hazardRate": 0.00014
  }
}
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 26 May 2026Methodology
Disagreement—
warming up — first reading at 03:45 UTC
Vol Flow$4-95%
min $2max $2.9K
Breadth-14%+109.1pp
min -100%max 100%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 03:45 UTC
May 19past 7d · UTCMay 25 · 22:23

Live contracts

15

Median IY

3¢

implied prob (YES)

24h volume

$4

Days to catalyst

none

no scheduled catalyst

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

+19¢

KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME-26-COL

2026 FIFA World Cup Halftime Performer Markets — liquidity topography (top 1 of 15 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = annualized %. Range: 3999.0 → 3999.0%

1d7d30d90d3999.03999.03999.0

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in 2026 FIFA World Cup Halftime Performer Markets

Showing top 15 of 15

Sortable on every numeric column. Every row carries the SF indicator stack — bounded for readability, raw value on hover.

Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?: Justin Bieber4¢
IY >999%Cliff 24Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$4
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?: Billie Eilish3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?: Coldplay32¢
IY 354%Cliff 2Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$0
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?: Dua Lipa3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?: Ed Sheeran3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?: Eminem3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?: Fred again..3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?: Jason Derulo3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?: The Kid LAROI4¢
IY >999%Cliff 24Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?: Pearl Jam4¢
IY >999%Cliff 24Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?: Sabrina Carpenter3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?: Sia5¢
IY >999%Cliff 19Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?: sombr3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?: Anuel AA5¢
IY >999%Cliff 19Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?: Lil Uzi Vert4¢
IY >999%Cliff 24Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
15 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in 2026 FIFA World Cup Halftime Performer Markets

From market_changes
1d agoKalshi
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?: Coldplay
28¢9→28 (+19)
open →
1d agoKalshi
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?: Coldplay
9¢24→9 (-15)
open →
8h agoKalshi
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?: Justin Bieber
19¢6→19 (+13)
open →
8h agoKalshi
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?: Justin Bieber
6¢19→6 (-13)
open →
1d agoKalshi
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?: Justin Bieber
5¢17→5 (-12)
open →
9h agoKalshi
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?: Justin Bieber
16¢6→16 (+10)
open →
9h agoKalshi
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?: Justin Bieber
6¢16→6 (-10)
open →
12h agoKalshi
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?: Justin Bieber
6¢15→6 (-9)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 26 May 2026 03:38:23 GMT.

Term-structure analytics

Probability vs tenor curve and per-bucket deviation analysis. /yield-curves/KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME →

Category view

All Kalshi Entertainment markets. /markets/category/entertainment →

Venue view

Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →