SimpleFunctions

Markets · Category

Entertainment prediction markets — albums, awards, releases.

3,980 Kalshi-classified live questions across 3,980 Kalshi contracts, $516,512 of 24h volume. 650 sit in coin-flip territory. 11,737 markets moved 5cents+ in the last 24h. Refreshed every 15 minutes.

Polymarket-side classification backfill is in flight — until shipped, see the cross-venue picture under /odds?category=entertainment.

Category JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/category/entertainment
Screen filter
GET/api/public/screen?category=entertainment
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 12 Aug 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$516.5K-29%
min $220.4Kmax $741.5K
Breadth-10%-20.0pp
min -29%max 12%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 22:45 UTC
Aug 6past 7d · UTCAug 12 · 22:23

Live contracts

3,980

24h volume

$516.5K

# series in cat

6

curated GO series

Contested

16%

30-70% prob

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

+93¢

KXTOTALALBEQUIV-26-1.2B

Entertainment — liquidity topography (top 897 of 3,980 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = price changes / hour. Range: 0.2 → 2.8/h

$10$100$1,000$10,0001d7d30d90d365d2.81.50.2

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Curated series in Entertainment

6 hubs · sorted by live count
Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets
KXRT
96 live
audit 162
Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets
KXALBUMEQUIV
38 live
audit 51
Artist 2026 Album Release Markets
KXALBUMRELEASE
25 live
audit 90
79th Tony Awards Winner Markets
KXTONYAWARDS
0 live
audit 97
2026 FIFA World Cup Halftime Performer Markets
KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME
0 live
audit 62
Artist 2026 Song Release Markets
KXSONGRELEASE
0 live
audit 51

Top markets in Entertainment

Showing top 20 of 3,980

Sortable across every numeric column — IY / Cliff / Edge / RVol / Resid / 24h vol — all bounded for readability, raw on hover.

The End of Oak Street Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8511¢
IY >999%Cliff 8Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$33.4K
Will The Black Ball win Best Picture at the Oscars?: The Black Ball17¢
IY 352%Cliff 5Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$30.8K
The End of Oak Street Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8061¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 763%Resid —$27.3K
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?: The Odyssey51¢
IY 69%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 143%Resid —$16.7K
2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?: Project Hail Mary84¢
IY 14%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 225%Resid —$12.1K
Will The Last House be Top US Netflix Movie on Aug 17, 2026?: The Last House94¢
IY 446%Cliff 16Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$11.8K
Will In the Land of Saints and Sinners be #2 US Netflix Movie on Aug 17, 2026?: In the Land of Saints and Sinners5¢
IY >999%Cliff 19Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$10.2K
The End of Oak Street Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 7597¢
IY 243%Cliff 32Edge —RVol 402%Resid —$8.8K
Will My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3 be Top US Netflix Show on Aug 17, 2026?: My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 327¢
IY >999%Cliff 3Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$8.6K
Nimrods Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8069¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$8.2K
Will Dai Dai rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 13, 2026?: Dai Dai96¢
IY >999%Cliff 24Edge —RVol —Resid —$8.2K
Will The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1 be Top US Netflix Show on Aug 17, 2026?: The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 13¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$7.5K
The Brink of War Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 6028¢
IY >999%Cliff 3Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$6.4K
Coyote vs. Acme Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9082¢
IY 430%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 545%Resid —$6.2K
The Brink of War Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 4569¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 994%Resid —$6.1K
The Brink of War Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 704¢
IY >999%Cliff 24Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$5.9K
Will Quavo be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Quavo79¢
IY 68%Cliff 4Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$5.5K
Will Lil Wayne be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Lil Wayne86¢
IY 42%Cliff 6Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$5.4K
Coyote vs. Acme Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8594¢
IY 125%Cliff 16Edge —RVol 372%Resid —$4.8K
Will Ski Mask The Slump God be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Ski Mask The Slump God63¢
IY 151%Cliff 2Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$4.7K
3,980 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in Entertainment

From market_changes
11h agoKalshi
Will the Music Industry have above 1200000000 total USA Album Equivalent Units on Luminate in Jan 02, 2026 - Dec 31, 2026?: Above 1.2B
95¢2→95 (+93)
open →
10h agoKalshi
Will the Music Industry have above 1200000000 total USA Album Equivalent Units on Luminate in Jan 02, 2026 - Dec 31, 2026?: Above 1.2B
95¢2→95 (+93)
open →
10h agoKalshi
Will the Music Industry have above 1200000000 total USA Album Equivalent Units on Luminate in Jan 02, 2026 - Dec 31, 2026?: Above 1.2B
2¢95→2 (-93)
open →
17h agoKalshi
Will Armenia officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?: Armenia
2¢93→2 (-91)
open →
17h agoKalshi
Will Lithuania officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?: Lithuania
93¢2→93 (+91)
open →
17h agoKalshi
Will Portugal officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?: Portugal
93¢2→93 (+91)
open →
17h agoKalshi
Will Portugal officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?: Portugal
2¢93→2 (-91)
open →
17h agoKalshi
Will Latvia officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?: Latvia
2¢93→2 (-91)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 12 Aug 2026 22:38:42 GMT.

All markets

Liquidity heatmap across both venues. /markets →

Cross-venue / Polymarket

Per-question parity map (includes Polymarket). /odds?category=entertainment →

Filter & explore

IY / CRI / RV / VR cuts in this category. /screen?category=entertainment →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →