SimpleFunctions

Markets · Category

Entertainment prediction markets — albums, awards, releases.

3,791 Kalshi-classified live questions across 3,791 Kalshi contracts, $290,418 of 24h volume. 638 sit in coin-flip territory. 689 markets moved 5cents+ in the last 24h. Refreshed every 15 minutes.

Polymarket-side classification backfill is in flight — until shipped, see the cross-venue picture under /odds?category=entertainment.

Category JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/category/entertainment
Screen filter
GET/api/public/screen?category=entertainment
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 09 Aug 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$290.4K-35%
min $290.4Kmax $830.4K
Breadth-4%+11.6pp
min -29%max 21%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 18:30 UTC
Aug 2past 7d · UTCAug 9 · 18:23

Live contracts

3,791

24h volume

$290.4K

# series in cat

6

curated GO series

Contested

17%

30-70% prob

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

-76¢

KXBBCHARTPOSITIONSONG-26AUG15IKN-2

Entertainment — liquidity topography (top 673 of 3,791 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = price changes / hour. Range: 0.2 → 3.0/h

$10$100$1,000$10,0001d7d30d90d365d3.01.60.2

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Curated series in Entertainment

6 hubs · sorted by live count
Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets
KXRT
82 live
audit 162
Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets
KXALBUMEQUIV
53 live
audit 51
Artist 2026 Album Release Markets
KXALBUMRELEASE
31 live
audit 90
Artist 2026 Song Release Markets
KXSONGRELEASE
2 live
audit 51
79th Tony Awards Winner Markets
KXTONYAWARDS
0 live
audit 97
2026 FIFA World Cup Halftime Performer Markets
KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME
0 live
audit 62

Top markets in Entertainment

Showing top 20 of 3,791

Sortable across every numeric column — IY / Cliff / Edge / RVol / Resid / 24h vol — all bounded for readability, raw on hover.

Will LaTrice Verrett win Big Brother Season 28?: LaTrice Verrett3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$19.5K
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?: The Odyssey48¢
IY 78%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 121%Resid —$11.8K
Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?: Callum Turner35¢
IY 55%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$10.5K
Will Jacob Elordi be the next James Bond?: Jacob Elordi18¢
IY 134%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$8.4K
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People list?: Luigi Mangione5¢
IY >999%Cliff 19Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$8.1K
Will Kamu Kirk win Big Brother Season 28?: Kamu Kirk8¢
IY >999%Cliff 12Edge —RVol —Resid —$8.0K
Will Aaron Taylor-Johnson be the next James Bond?: Aaron Taylor-Johnson18¢
IY 134%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$7.3K
Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother Season 28?: Barrett Pfeiffer6¢
IY >999%Cliff 16Edge —RVol —Resid —$5.3K
Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother Season 28?: Dee Valladares19¢
IY >999%Cliff 4Edge —RVol —Resid —$4.4K
Will Tom Holland perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday?: Tom Holland as Spider-Man?46¢
IY 84%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 162%Resid —$4.2K
Will Taylor Brown win Big Brother Season 28?: Taylor Brown8¢
IY >999%Cliff 12Edge —RVol —Resid —$4.1K
Will Donald Trump be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?: Donald Trump9¢
IY >999%Cliff 10Edge —RVol —Resid —$4.1K
Will Robert Pattison win Best Actor at the Oscars?: Robert Pattison12¢
IY 526%Cliff 7Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$3.5K
Will Chuk Anyanwu finish in 2 place in Big Brother Season 28?: Chuk Anyanwu3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$3.3K
Will Ungraded Price of the Gengar (Cosmos Holo) (EB Games Exclusive) on Collectr be above $184.84 on ?: Above $184.8456¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$3.2K
Will Zohran Mamdani be Time Person of the Year in 2026?: Zohran Mamdani29¢
IY 619%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$3.2K
Will Rick Devens win Big Brother Season 28?: Rick Devens16¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$3.1K
Will Henry Cavill be the next James Bond?: Henry Cavill5¢
IY 559%Cliff 19Edge —RVol —Resid —$3.1K
Will Lionel Messi be in the 1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?: Lionel Messi5¢
IY >999%Cliff 19Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$3.0K
Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Choosin' Texas96¢
IY 205%Cliff 24Edge —RVol —Resid —$3.0K
3,791 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in Entertainment

From market_changes
10h agoKalshi
Will I Knew It, I Knew You be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 15, 2026: 2
20¢96→20 (-76)
open →
11h agoKalshi
Will Chuck Timely & The Hourglass by ROLE MODEL have above 9000 Pure Album Sales during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026 tracking week?: Above 9K
65¢3→65 (+62)
open →
14h agoKalshi
Will Ungraded Price of the Charizard ex on Collectr be above $368.43 on ?: Above $368.43
7¢63→7 (-56)
open →
11h agoKalshi
Will Chuck Timely & The Hourglass by ROLE MODEL have above 12000 Pure Album Sales during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026 tracking week?: Above 12K
58¢6→58 (+52)
open →
2h agoKalshi
Will THIS & THAT by Stray Kids have above 250000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026 tracking week?: Above 250K
29¢78→29 (-49)
open →
11h agoKalshi
Will Chuck Timely & The Hourglass by ROLE MODEL have above 15000 Pure Album Sales during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026 tracking week?: Above 15K
52¢4→52 (+48)
open →
17h agoKalshi
Will Charles Melton be cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios?: Charles Melton
6¢53→6 (-47)
open →
14h agoKalshi
Will Ungraded Price of the Bulbasaur on Collectr be above $27.23 on ?: Above $27.23
12¢57→12 (-45)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 09 Aug 2026 18:08:42 GMT.

All markets

Liquidity heatmap across both venues. /markets →

Cross-venue / Polymarket

Per-question parity map (includes Polymarket). /odds?category=entertainment →

Filter & explore

IY / CRI / RV / VR cuts in this category. /screen?category=entertainment →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →