SimpleFunctions

Markets · Category

Entertainment prediction markets — albums, awards, releases.

4,193 Kalshi-classified live questions across 4,193 Kalshi contracts, $1,767,384 of 24h volume. 942 sit in coin-flip territory. 1,516 markets moved 5cents+ in the last 24h. Refreshed every 15 minutes.

Polymarket-side classification backfill is in flight — until shipped, see the cross-venue picture under /odds?category=entertainment.

Category JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/category/entertainment
Screen filter
GET/api/public/screen?category=entertainment
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 25 Jun 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$1.8M+58%
min $461.9Kmax $1.8M
Breadth10%+5.6pp
min -14%max 22%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 17:00 UTC
Jun 18past 7d · UTCJun 25 · 16:23

Live contracts

4,193

24h volume

$1.8M

# series in cat

6

curated GO series

Contested

22%

30-70% prob

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

+97¢

KXGTAPREORDERS-26-5MIL

Entertainment — liquidity topography (top 994 of 4,193 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = price changes / hour. Range: 0.2 → 3.7/h

$10$100$1,000$10,000$100,000$1,000,0001d7d30d90d365d3.72.00.2

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Curated series in Entertainment

6 hubs · sorted by live count
Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets
KXRT
69 live
audit 162
Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets
KXALBUMEQUIV
60 live
audit 51
Artist 2026 Album Release Markets
KXALBUMRELEASE
27 live
audit 90
2026 FIFA World Cup Halftime Performer Markets
KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME
22 live
audit 62
Artist 2026 Song Release Markets
KXSONGRELEASE
4 live
audit 51
79th Tony Awards Winner Markets
KXTONYAWARDS
0 live
audit 97

Top markets in Entertainment

Showing top 20 of 4,193

Sortable across every numeric column — IY / Cliff / Edge / RVol / Resid / 24h vol — all bounded for readability, raw on hover.

#2 US Netflix Movie on Jun 29, 2026?: Goat3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$636.2K
The Odyssey Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 7088¢
IY 200%Cliff 7Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$184.3K
Will Drake be #1 on the Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in June 2026?: Drake10¢
IY >999%Cliff 9Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$84.9K
Will Taylor Swift get married at MSG this year?: Before Jan 1, 202772¢
IY 75%Cliff 3Edge —RVol 622%Resid —$58.4K
Will Trinity and Bryce win Love Island USA Season 8?: Trinity and Bryce70¢
IY 212%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 589%Resid —$57.2K
Where will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s Wedding occur?: New York80¢
IY 7.1%Cliff 4Edge —RVol 351%Resid —$43.3K
Where will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s Wedding occur?: Rhode Island20¢
IY 114%Cliff 4Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$36.8K
Will Alannah be eliminated from Love Island USA Season 8 before Jun 27, 2026?: Alannah97¢
IY 767%Cliff 32Edge —RVol 667%Resid —$36.5K
Will Aniya and Carl win Love Island USA Season 8?: Aniya and Carl4¢
IY >999%Cliff 24Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$28.3K
Will Carl be eliminated from Love Island USA Season 8 before Jun 27, 2026?: Carl91¢
IY >999%Cliff 10Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$25.1K
Will I Knew It, I Knew You be 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in July 2026?: I Knew It, I Knew You16¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$24.9K
Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce be married in 2026?: Before 202796¢
IY 8.0%Cliff 24Edge —RVol —Resid —$22.1K
Will Melanie and Sincere win Love Island USA Season 8?: Melanie and Sincere7¢
IY >999%Cliff 13Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$20.2K
Will The Odyssey be delayed?: Past July 17, 20263¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$16.7K
Will Chay be eliminated from Love Island USA Season 8 before Jun 27, 2026?: Chay93¢
IY >999%Cliff 13Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$13.4K
Will Kayda and Zach win Love Island USA Season 8?: Kayda and Zach9¢
IY >999%Cliff 10Edge —RVol 972%Resid —$13.3K
Who Will Be on the Cover of NBA 2K27?: Jalen Brunson19¢
IY 819%Cliff 4Edge —RVol 760%Resid —$11.6K
Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: Choosin' Texas87¢
IY >999%Cliff 7Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$11.4K
Will Future be #1 on the Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in June 2026?: Future4¢
IY >999%Cliff 24Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$11.2K
Will Donald Trump be Time Person of the Year in 2026?: Donald Trump26¢
IY 548%Cliff 3Edge —RVol —Resid —$9.4K
4,193 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in Entertainment

From market_changes
1d agoKalshi
Will it be reported by Take-Two Interactive that Grand Theft Auto VI has surpassed 5 million preorders before July 4th?: GTA 6 has surpassed 5 million preorders
98¢1→98 (+97)
open →
10h agoKalshi
Will the lot sold price of the Derek Jeter 'The Dive' New York Yankees 2004 Regular Season and Postseason Game Worn and Signed Jersey | Matched to 74 Games | 150th Home Run on Sotheby's be above $500000 during the live auction beginning July 01, 2026 at 10:00 EDT?: Above $500K
2¢97→2 (-95)
open →
10h agoKalshi
Will the lot sold price of the Derek Jeter 'The Dive' New York Yankees 2004 Regular Season and Postseason Game Worn and Signed Jersey | Matched to 74 Games | 150th Home Run on Sotheby's be above $600000 during the live auction beginning July 01, 2026 at 10:00 EDT?: Above $600K
2¢97→2 (-95)
open →
17h agoKalshi
Top Artist on Weekly Top Artists USA on Jun 25, 2026?: Kanye West
5¢95→5 (-90)
open →
45m agoKalshi
Will Daughter From Hell by Gracie Abrams have above 60000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026 tracking week?: Above 60K
89¢2→89 (+87)
open →
13h agoKalshi
Will Daughter From Hell by Gracie Abrams have above 60000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026 tracking week?: Above 60K
3¢90→3 (-87)
open →
13h agoKalshi
Will Daughter From Hell by Gracie Abrams have above 70000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026 tracking week?: Above 70K
3¢89→3 (-86)
open →
45m agoKalshi
Will Daughter From Hell by Gracie Abrams have above 70000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026 tracking week?: Above 70K
88¢2→88 (+86)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 25 Jun 2026 16:38:42 GMT.

All markets

Liquidity heatmap across both venues. /markets →

Cross-venue / Polymarket

Per-question parity map (includes Polymarket). /odds?category=entertainment →

Filter & explore

IY / CRI / RV / VR cuts in this category. /screen?category=entertainment →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →