SimpleFunctions

Markets · Category

Entertainment prediction markets — albums, awards, releases.

3,641 Kalshi-classified live questions across 3,641 Kalshi contracts, $986,565 of 24h volume. 813 sit in coin-flip territory. 2,982 markets moved 5cents+ in the last 24h. Refreshed every 15 minutes.

Polymarket-side classification backfill is in flight — until shipped, see the cross-venue picture under /odds?category=entertainment.

Category JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/category/entertainment
Screen filter
GET/api/public/screen?category=entertainment
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 23 Sep 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$986.6K+292%
min $260.7Kmax $1.1M
Breadth11%+54.0pp
min -62%max 65%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 18:45 UTC
Sep 16past 7d · UTCSep 23 · 16:23

Live contracts

3,641

24h volume

$986.6K

# series in cat

6

curated GO series

Contested

22%

30-70% prob

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

-90¢

KXCMA-FVOTY26-KMUS

Entertainment — liquidity topography (top 860 of 3,641 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = price changes / hour. Range: 4.0 → 4.5/h

$10$100$1,000$10,000$100,0001d7d30d90d365d4.54.34.0

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Curated series in Entertainment

6 hubs · sorted by live count
Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets
KXRT
42 live
audit 162
Artist 2026 Album Release Markets
KXALBUMRELEASE
23 live
audit 90
Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets
KXALBUMEQUIV
20 live
audit 51
Artist 2026 Song Release Markets
KXSONGRELEASE
6 live
audit 51
79th Tony Awards Winner Markets
KXTONYAWARDS
0 live
audit 97
2026 FIFA World Cup Halftime Performer Markets
KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME
0 live
audit 62

Top markets in Entertainment

Showing top 20 of 3,641

Sortable across every numeric column — IY / Cliff / Edge / RVol / Resid / 24h vol — all bounded for readability, raw on hover.

Will Ezra Frech win Dancing with the Stars Season 35?: Ezra Frech25¢
IY >999%Cliff 3Edge —RVol —Resid —$70.1K
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?: The Odyssey53¢
IY 70%Cliff 1Edge —RVol —Resid —$48.8K
Will Rick Devens win Big Brother Season 28?: Rick Devens21¢
IY >999%Cliff 4Edge —RVol —Resid —$48.0K
Will Drew Campbell win Big Brother Season 28?: Drew Campbell39¢
IY 539%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$46.8K
Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother Season 28?: Dee Valladares17¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$46.1K
Will Maura Higgins win Dancing with the Stars Season 35?: Maura Higgins17¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$36.0K
Will Amber Glenn win Dancing with the Stars Season 35?: Amber Glenn10¢
IY >999%Cliff 9Edge —RVol —Resid —$33.2K
Will The Black Ball win Best Picture at the Oscars?: The Black Ball26¢
IY 224%Cliff 3Edge —RVol —Resid —$29.9K
Will Jackson Olson win Dancing with the Stars Season 35?: Jackson Olson3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$28.2K
Will Taylor Brown win Big Brother Season 28?: Taylor Brown21¢
IY >999%Cliff 4Edge —RVol —Resid —$23.1K
Will Connor Wood win Dancing with the Stars Season 35?: Connor Wood3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$21.4K
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the Oscars?: Tom Cruise12¢
IY 577%Cliff 7Edge —RVol —Resid —$18.7K
Will Harry Shum Jr. win Dancing with the Stars Season 35?: Harry Shum Jr.16¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$18.4K
Will Jenna Dewan win Dancing with the Stars Season 35?: Jenna Dewan14¢
IY >999%Cliff 6Edge —RVol —Resid —$16.8K
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the Oscars?: Wild Horse Nine3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$16.0K
Will Rick Devens finish in 3 place in Big Brother Season 28?: Rick Devens19¢
IY >999%Cliff 4Edge —RVol —Resid —$11.5K
Will above 13750000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?: above 13,750,00069¢
IY 54%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$10.4K
Will Rick Devens finish in 2 place in Big Brother Season 28?: Rick Devens3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$9.9K
Will Dee Valladares finish in 2 place in Big Brother Season 28?: Dee Valladares4¢
IY >999%Cliff 24Edge —RVol —Resid —$9.1K
2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?: Digger14¢
IY 483%Cliff 6Edge —RVol —Resid —$8.3K
3,641 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in Entertainment

From market_changes
5h agoKalshi
Will Kacey Musgraves win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards?: Kacey Musgraves
4¢94→4 (-90)
open →
4h agoKalshi
Will Malta officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?: Malta
7¢91→7 (-84)
open →
4h agoKalshi
Will Malta officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?: Malta
91¢7→91 (+84)
open →
5h agoKalshi
2027 Best Cinematography Oscar nominations?: The Odyssey
89¢5→89 (+84)
open →
5h agoKalshi
Who will perform the next James Bond Song?: Lorde
83¢1→83 (+82)
open →
3h agoKalshi
Will Taylor Swift release a new album after issuance and before Sep 1, 2027: Before Sep 1, 2027
97¢15→97 (+82)
open →
5h agoKalshi
Who will perform the next James Bond Song?: Lorde
1¢83→1 (-82)
open →
4h agoKalshi
Will Moldova officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?: Moldova
10¢91→10 (-81)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 23 Sep 2026 18:38:41 GMT.

All markets

Liquidity heatmap across both venues. /markets →

Cross-venue / Polymarket

Per-question parity map (includes Polymarket). /odds?category=entertainment →

Filter & explore

IY / CRI / RV / VR cuts in this category. /screen?category=entertainment →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →