Chengdu Rongcheng to win Shenzhen Peng City vs Chengdu Rongcheng
Chengdu Rongcheng is priced at 62¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 52¢ bid, 55¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Shenzhen Peng City vs Chengdu Rongcheng Winner.
Price history
62¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If Chengdu Rongcheng wins the Shenzhen Peng City vs Chengdu Rongcheng professional Chinese Super League soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Chengdu Rongcheng
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Chengdu Rongcheng 52¢
Range
20¢-52¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXCHNSLGAME-26JUN27SHECHR-CHR
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
52¢
Ask
55¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Shenzhen Peng City vs Chengdu Rongcheng Winner
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
52 / 55¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Chengdu Rongcheng wins the Shenzhen Peng City vs Chengdu Rongcheng professional Chinese Super League soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Identifier
KXCHNSLGAME-26JUN27SHECHR-CHR
Event family
Shenzhen Peng City vs Chengdu Rongcheng Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Chengdu Rongcheng 52¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.