Atletico Petroleos de Luanda (-1.5) for Spread
Spread: Atletico Petroleos de Luanda (-1.5) is priced at 49¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 95¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
49¢ current
Contract brief
In the upcoming Club Friendlies game, scheduled for August 6 at 4:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Atletico Petroleos de Luanda" if Atletico Petroleos de Luanda win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Reus FC Reddis". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on flashscore.com. This market will settle based on the final score of the match, regardless of format (e.g. two halves totaling 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or four periods totaling 120 minutes). The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Outcome
Spread: Atletico Petroleos de Luanda (-1.5)
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
0xf8f933e0...5def
Aug 5, 2026, 8:31 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
96¢
Spread
95¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Aug 6, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 96¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
In the upcoming Club Friendlies game, scheduled for August 6 at 4:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Atletico Petroleos de Luanda" if Atletico Petroleos de Luanda win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Reus FC Reddis". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on flashscore.com. This market will settle based on the final score of the match, regardless of format (e.g. two halves totaling 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or four periods totaling 120 minutes). The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Aug 6, 2026
Identifier
0xf8f933e0…5def
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Spread: Atletico Petroleos de Luanda (-1.5) 49¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.