SimpleFunctions

Texas Tech wins: Texas Tech · KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP05ACTTU

Texas Tech wins: Texas Tech is priced at 98¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 97¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP05ACTTU.

Price history

98¢ current

+8¢
90¢100¢
Aug 18, 2026Aug 18, 2026

Contract brief

If Texas Tech wins the Abilene Christian vs Texas Tech college football game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Texas Tech wins: Texas Tech

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Texas Tech wins: Texas Tech 97¢

Range

1¢-97¢

Family volume

$4K

Identifier

KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP05ACTTU-TTU

Aug 24, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 57m ago

Implied probability

98¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 24, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 57m ago

Bid

97¢

Ask

98¢

Spread

Reported volume

$5K

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP05ACTTU

Closes

Sep 7, 2026

Family volume

$4K

Orderbook snapshot

97 / 98¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
97¢567K
94¢59K
92¢1.3K
91¢20K
86¢3.7K
AskSize
98¢801
99¢12K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Texas Tech wins the Abilene Christian vs Texas Tech college football game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 7, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP05ACTTU-TTU

SF Signal
SF Index
42230.25
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP05ACTTU.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$4K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Texas Tech wins: Texas Tech 97¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

80.8%
84460.5%
Adj IY
42230%
32

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.