Will Andrew Novak finish top 10 for The Open Championship
Andrew Novak is priced at 10¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside The Open Championship.
Price history
10¢ current
Contract brief
If Andrew Novak finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Andrew Novak
Rank
#9 of 16
Leader
Ludvig Aberg 35¢
Range
1¢-35¢
Family volume
$52
Identifier
KXPGATOP10-THOC26-ANOV
Jun 26, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
17¢
Spread
14¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#9 of 16
16 outcomes · The Open Championship
Closes
Aug 16, 2026
Family volume
$52
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 17¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Andrew Novak finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 16, 2026
Identifier
KXPGATOP10-THOC26-ANOV
Event family
The Open Championship.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$52
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Ludvig Aberg 35¢
Current share
0%
Ludvig Aberg
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-THOC26-LABE
Jordan Spieth
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-THOC26-JSPI
Bud Cauley
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-THOC26-BCAU
Bryson DeChambeau
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-THOC26-BDEC
Brooks Koepka
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-THOC26-BKOE
Aaron Rai
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-THOC26-ARAI
Ben Griffin
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-THOC26-BGRI
Brian Harman
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-THOC26-BHAR
Andrew Novak
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-THOC26-ANOV
Akshay Bhatia
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-THOC26-ABHA
Adam Scott
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-THOC26-ASCO
Alistair Docherty
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-THOC26-ADOC
Alex Noren
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-THOC26-ANOR
Adrien Saddier
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-THOC26-ASAD
Alex Smalley
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-THOC26-ASMA
Billy Horschel
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-THOC26-BHOR
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 10% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.