Will Bud Cauley finish top 5 for The Open Championship
Bud Cauley is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 6 inside The Open Championship.
Price history
12¢ current
Contract brief
If Bud Cauley finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Bud Cauley
Rank
#6 of 6
Leader
Jon Rahm 62¢
Range
12¢-62¢
Family volume
$291
Identifier
KXPGATOP5-THOC26-BCAU
Jun 25, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
12¢
Spread
12¢
24h volume
$66
Family rank
#6 of 6
6 outcomes · The Open Championship
Closes
Aug 16, 2026
Family volume
$291
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 12¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Bud Cauley finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 16, 2026
Identifier
KXPGATOP5-THOC26-BCAU
Event family
The Open Championship.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$291
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Jon Rahm 62¢
Current share
23%
Jon Rahm
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-THOC26-JRAH
Scottie Scheffler
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-THOC26-SSCH
Tommy Fleetwood
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-THOC26-TFLE
Justin Thomas
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-THOC26-JTHO
Justin Rose
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-THOC26-JROS
Bud Cauley
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-THOC26-BCAU
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.