Will J.J. Spaun finish top 20 for The Open Championship
J.J. Spaun is priced at 44¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 44¢ ask, 44¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 10 inside The Open Championship.
Price history
44¢ current
Contract brief
If J.J. Spaun finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
J.J. Spaun
Rank
#4 of 10
Leader
Matt Fitzpatrick 91¢
Range
13¢-91¢
Family volume
$117
Identifier
KXPGATOP20-THOC26-JSPA
Jun 25, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
44¢
Spread
44¢
24h volume
$2
Family rank
#4 of 10
10 outcomes · The Open Championship
Closes
Aug 16, 2026
Family volume
$117
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 44¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If J.J. Spaun finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 16, 2026
Identifier
KXPGATOP20-THOC26-JSPA
Event family
The Open Championship.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$117
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Matt Fitzpatrick 91¢
Current share
2%
Matt Fitzpatrick
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-MFIT
Wyndham Clark
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-WCLA
Ludvig Aberg
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-LABE
J.J. Spaun
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-JSPA
Brian Harman
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-BHAR
Ryan Gerard
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-RGER
Sepp Straka
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-SSTR
Shaun Norris
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-SNOR
Travis Smyth
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-TSMY
Ren Yonezawa
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-RYON
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.