Will Kurt Kitayama finish top 20 for The Open Championship
Kurt Kitayama is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 36¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside The Open Championship.
Price history
37¢ current
Contract brief
If Kurt Kitayama finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Kurt Kitayama
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Scottie Scheffler 55¢
Range
6¢-55¢
Family volume
$5K
Identifier
KXPGATOP20-THOC26-KKIT
Jul 12, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
36¢
Spread
36¢
24h volume
$8
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · The Open Championship
Closes
Aug 16, 2026
Family volume
$5K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 36¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Kurt Kitayama finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 16, 2026
Identifier
KXPGATOP20-THOC26-KKIT
Event family
The Open Championship.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Scottie Scheffler 55¢
Current share
0%
Scottie Scheffler
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-SSCH
Matt Fitzpatrick
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-MFIT
Rory McIlroy
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-RMCI
Kurt Kitayama
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-KKIT
Xander Schauffele
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-XSCH
Wyndham Clark
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-WCLA
Chris Gotterup
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-CGOT
Tyrrell Hatton
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-THAT
Robert MacIntyre
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-RMAC
Justin Rose
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-JROS
Collin Morikawa
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-CMOR
Bryson DeChambeau
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-BDEC
Viktor Hovland
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-VHOV
Tommy Fleetwood
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-TFLE
Matthew Baldwin
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-MBAL
Akshay Bhatia
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-ABHA
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.