Will Sam Burns finish top 20 for The Open Championship
Sam Burns is priced at 49¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 47¢ ask, 44¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside The Open Championship.
Price history
49¢ current
+26¢Contract brief
If Sam Burns finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Sam Burns
Rank
#12 of 16
Leader
Eric Cole 40¢
Range
2¢-40¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXPGATOP20-THOC26-SBUR
Jul 11, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
47¢
Spread
44¢
Reported volume
$252
Family rank
#12 of 16
16 outcomes · The Open Championship
Closes
Aug 16, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 47¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Sam Burns finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 16, 2026
Identifier
KXPGATOP20-THOC26-SBUR
Event family
The Open Championship.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Eric Cole 40¢
Current share
0%
Eric Cole
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-ECOL
Chris Gotterup
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-CGOT
Xander Schauffele
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-XSCH
Wyndham Clark
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-WCLA
Keita Nakajima
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-KNAK
Alistair Docherty
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-ADOC
Harris English
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-HENG
Alex Fitzpatrick
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-AFIT
Tommy Fleetwood
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-TFLE
Matt Fitzpatrick
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-MFIT
Bryson DeChambeau
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-BDEC
Sam Burns
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-SBUR
Robert MacIntyre
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-RMAC
Viktor Hovland
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-VHOV
Ludvig Aberg
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-LABE
Patrick Cantlay
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-THOC26-PCAN
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 49% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.