Tijuana de Caliente to win Tijuana de Caliente vs Cruz Azul
Tijuana de Caliente is priced at 32¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 29¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Tijuana de Caliente vs Cruz Azul Winner.
Price history
32¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If Tijuana de Caliente wins the Tijuana de Caliente vs Cruz Azul professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tijuana de Caliente
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Cruz Azul 43¢
Range
26¢-43¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXLIGAMXGAME-26AUG16TIJCRA-TIJ
Aug 8, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
29¢
Ask
31¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$588
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Tijuana de Caliente vs Cruz Azul Winner
Closes
Aug 19, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
29 / 31¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tijuana de Caliente wins the Tijuana de Caliente vs Cruz Azul professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 19, 2026
Identifier
KXLIGAMXGAME-26AUG16TIJCRA-TIJ
Event family
Tijuana de Caliente vs Cruz Azul Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Cruz Azul 43¢
Current share
37%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.