Tokyo Great Bears vs. Hokkaido Yellow Stars
Tokyo Great Bears vs. Hokkaido Yellow Stars is priced at 51¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 11¢ bid, 90¢ ask, 79¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
51¢ current
Contract brief
This market refers to the volleyball match between Tokyo Great Bears and Hokkaido Yellow Stars in the SV.League, originally scheduled for October 17 at 1:05AM ET. This market will resolve to "Tokyo Great Bears" if Tokyo Great Bears wins the match. It will resolve to "Hokkaido Yellow Stars" if Hokkaido Yellow Stars wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official SV.League results.
Outcome
Tokyo Great Bears vs. Hokkaido Yellow Stars
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
0xa1af58bf...96f5
Oct 16, 2026, 9:37 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
90¢
Spread
79¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Oct 24, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 90¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market refers to the volleyball match between Tokyo Great Bears and Hokkaido Yellow Stars in the SV.League, originally scheduled for October 17 at 1:05AM ET. This market will resolve to "Tokyo Great Bears" if Tokyo Great Bears wins the match. It will resolve to "Hokkaido Yellow Stars" if Hokkaido Yellow Stars wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official SV.League results.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Oct 24, 2026
Identifier
0xa1af58bf…96f5
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Tokyo Great Bears vs. Hokkaido Yellow Stars 51¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.625
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.