SimpleFunctions

Top US Netflix Movie on Jul 13, 2026

Voicemails for Isabelle is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 12 inside Top US Netflix Movie on Jul 13, 2026.

Price history

1¢ current

0¢25¢
Jul 8, 2026Jul 9, 2026

Contract brief

If Voicemails for Isabelle is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie on the chart published on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Voicemails for Isabelle

Rank

#3 of 12

Leader

Old Henry 66¢

Range

1¢-66¢

Family volume

$74K

Identifier

KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIE-26JUL13-VOI

Jul 12, 2026, 11:54 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

1¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 12, 2026, 11:54 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$5K

Family rank

#3 of 12

12 outcomes · Top US Netflix Movie on Jul 13, 2026

Closes

Jul 14, 2026

Family volume

$74K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 1¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
2¢1.1K
3¢518
4¢2.0K
21¢57
100¢19K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Voicemails for Isabelle is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie on the chart published on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 14, 2026

Identifier

KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIE-26JUL13-VOI

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.