SimpleFunctions

Top US Netflix Movie on Jun 29, 2026

Voicemails for Isabelle is priced at 52¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 42¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 10 inside Top US Netflix Movie on Jun 29, 2026.

Price history

52¢ current

+49¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jun 24, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Voicemails for Isabelle is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie on the chart published on Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Voicemails for Isabelle

Rank

#1 of 10

Leader

Voicemails for Isabelle 42¢

Range

1¢-42¢

Family volume

$5K

Identifier

KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIE-26JUN29-VOI

Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

52¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

42¢

Ask

51¢

Spread

24h volume

$1K

Family rank

#1 of 10

10 outcomes · Top US Netflix Movie on Jun 29, 2026

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Family volume

$5K

Orderbook snapshot

42 / 51¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
42¢21
41¢10
37¢38
36¢40
34¢80
AskSize
51¢196
52¢310
53¢43
54¢70
55¢982

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Voicemails for Isabelle is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie on the chart published on Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIE-26JUN29-VOI

SF Signal
SF Index
10010.88
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

1

VR

1.06

IAR

1.9/h

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1
VR
1.06
IAR
1.9/h

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.