SimpleFunctions

Strikeouts O/U 2.5 for José Soriano

José Soriano: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 is priced at 50¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

50¢ current

50¢
Aug 7, 2026Aug 7, 2026

Contract brief

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for August 7 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if José Soriano records more than 2.5 strikeouts during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if José Soriano records less than 2.5 strikeouts during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Outcome

José Soriano: Strikeouts O/U 2.5

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$0

Identifier

0xc0021c35...3c18

Aug 7, 2026, 3:50 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

50¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 7, 2026, 3:50 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

100¢

Spread

100¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Aug 7, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 100¢

Polymarket
100¢ spread
No public depth snapshot is cached for this contract yet.

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for August 7 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if José Soriano records more than 2.5 strikeouts during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if José Soriano records less than 2.5 strikeouts during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 7, 2026

Identifier

0xc0021c35…3c18

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

1

Highest price

José Soriano: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 50¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.