Will Bud Cauley finish top 5 for Travelers Championship
Bud Cauley is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 54¢ ask, 32¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside Travelers Championship.
Price history
24¢ current
+18¢Contract brief
If Bud Cauley finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Travelers Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Bud Cauley
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Scottie Scheffler 61¢
Range
4¢-61¢
Family volume
$146K
Identifier
KXPGATOP5-TRAV26-BCAU
Jun 25, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
22¢
Ask
54¢
Spread
32¢
24h volume
$4K
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · Travelers Championship
Closes
Jul 26, 2026
Family volume
$146K
Orderbook snapshot
22 / 54¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Bud Cauley finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Travelers Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 26, 2026
Identifier
KXPGATOP5-TRAV26-BCAU
Event family
Travelers Championship.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$146K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Scottie Scheffler 61¢
Current share
3%
Scottie Scheffler
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-TRAV26-SSCH
Eric Cole
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-TRAV26-ECOL
Bud Cauley
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-TRAV26-BCAU
Sam Burns
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-TRAV26-SBUR
Patrick Cantlay
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-TRAV26-PCAN
Justin Thomas
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-TRAV26-JTHO
Brian Harman
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-TRAV26-BHAR
Russell Henley
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-TRAV26-RHEN
Tommy Fleetwood
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-TRAV26-TFLE
Sahith Theegala
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-TRAV26-STHE
Jordan Spieth
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-TRAV26-JSPI
Rickie Fowler
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-TRAV26-RFOW
Sepp Straka
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-TRAV26-SSTR
Justin Rose
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-TRAV26-JROS
Wyndham Clark
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-TRAV26-WCLA
Hideki Matsuyama
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-TRAV26-HMAT
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.