Will Justin Thomas finish top 20 for Travelers Championship
Justin Thomas is priced at 48¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 46¢ bid, 47¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside Travelers Championship.
Price history
48¢ current
+9¢Contract brief
If Justin Thomas finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Travelers Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Justin Thomas
Rank
#8 of 16
Leader
Scottie Scheffler 82¢
Range
21¢-82¢
Family volume
$66K
Identifier
KXPGATOP20-TRAV26-JTHO
Jun 23, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
46¢
Ask
47¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$4K
Family rank
#8 of 16
16 outcomes · Travelers Championship
Closes
Jul 26, 2026
Family volume
$66K
Orderbook snapshot
46 / 47¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Justin Thomas finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Travelers Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 26, 2026
Identifier
KXPGATOP20-TRAV26-JTHO
Event family
Travelers Championship.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$66K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Scottie Scheffler 82¢
Current share
6%
Scottie Scheffler
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-TRAV26-SSCH
Tommy Fleetwood
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-TRAV26-TFLE
Xander Schauffele
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-TRAV26-XSCH
Matt Fitzpatrick
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-TRAV26-MFIT
Russell Henley
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-TRAV26-RHEN
Sam Burns
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-TRAV26-SBUR
Cameron Young
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-TRAV26-CAME
Collin Morikawa
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-TRAV26-CMOR
Justin Thomas
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-TRAV26-JTHO
Aaron Rai
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-TRAV26-ARAI
Wyndham Clark
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-TRAV26-WCLA
Kurt Kitayama
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-TRAV26-KKIT
Brian Harman
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-TRAV26-BHAR
Keith Mitchell
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-TRAV26-KMIT
Sahith Theegala
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-TRAV26-STHE
Rickie Fowler
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-TRAV26-RFOW
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.