SimpleFunctions

Will Mac Meissner finish top 10 for Travelers Championship

Mac Meissner is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #16 of 16 inside Travelers Championship.

Price history

7¢ current

5¢10¢
Jun 25, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Mac Meissner finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Travelers Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Mac Meissner

Rank

#16 of 16

Leader

Scottie Scheffler 63¢

Range

6¢-63¢

Family volume

$66K

Identifier

KXPGATOP10-TRAV26-MMEI

Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 14m ago

Implied probability

7¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 14m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$335

Family rank

#16 of 16

16 outcomes · Travelers Championship

Closes

Jul 26, 2026

Family volume

$66K

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 7¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢2.1K
6¢4.0K
5¢1.5K
4¢12K
AskSize
7¢29K
8¢361
10¢281
11¢5.5K
12¢2.5K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Mac Meissner finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Travelers Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 26, 2026

Identifier

KXPGATOP10-TRAV26-MMEI

SF Signal
SF Index
9212.42
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

PGA Championship Top-N Finish Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGATOP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

18424.8%

IY (No)

75.1%

Adj IY

9212%

CRI

16

Overround

10.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

18424.8%
75.1%
Adj IY
9212%
16
Overround
10.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.