Ursu Sergiu vs. Marenco Anton
Ursu Sergiu vs. Marenco Anton is priced at 51¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 96¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
51¢ current
Contract brief
This market refers to the table tennis match between Ursu Sergiu and Marenco Anton in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for September 22 at 7:05PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ursu Sergiu' if Ursu Sergiu wins against Marenco Anton. This market will resolve to 'Marenco Anton' if Marenco Anton wins against Ursu Sergiu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Outcome
Ursu Sergiu vs. Marenco Anton
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
0xb25bf293...d00e
Sep 22, 2026, 10:58 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
96¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Sep 29, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market refers to the table tennis match between Ursu Sergiu and Marenco Anton in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for September 22 at 7:05PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ursu Sergiu' if Ursu Sergiu wins against Marenco Anton. This market will resolve to 'Marenco Anton' if Marenco Anton wins against Ursu Sergiu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Sep 29, 2026
Identifier
0xb25bf293…d00e
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Ursu Sergiu vs. Marenco Anton 51¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.