SimpleFunctions

Bolelli/Vavassori vs Gille/Verbeek for US Open ATP (Doubles)

US Open ATP (Doubles): Bolelli/Vavassori vs Gille/Verbeek is priced at 51¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 14¢ bid, 87¢ ask, 73¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

51¢ current

50¢55¢
Sep 5, 2026Sep 5, 2026

Contract brief

This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Bolelli/Vavassori and Gille/Verbeek in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bolelli/Vavassori' if the team of Bolelli/Vavassori advances against Gille/Verbeek. This market will resolve to 'Gille/Verbeek' if the team of Gille/Verbeek advances against Bolelli/Vavassori. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome

US Open ATP (Doubles): Bolelli/Vavassori vs Gille/Verbeek

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$0

Identifier

0xf2e23ad7...798a

Sep 5, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

51¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 5, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

14¢

Ask

87¢

Spread

73¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Sep 13, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

14 / 87¢

Polymarket
73¢ spread
BidSize
100¢473
14¢8
13¢50
2¢1.5K
AskSize
87¢50
98¢1.6K
99¢473

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Bolelli/Vavassori and Gille/Verbeek in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bolelli/Vavassori' if the team of Bolelli/Vavassori advances against Gille/Verbeek. This market will resolve to 'Gille/Verbeek' if the team of Gille/Verbeek advances against Bolelli/Vavassori. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Sep 13, 2026

Identifier

0xf2e23ad7…798a

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

1

Highest price

US Open ATP (Doubles): Bolelli/Vavassori vs Gille/Verbeek 51¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.