Jakub Mensik wins for US Open Men's Singles
Jakub Mensik wins: Jakub Mensik is priced at 74¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 74¢ ask, 70¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside US Open Men's Singles.
Price history
74¢ current
+71¢Contract brief
If Jakub Mensik wins the 2027 US Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jakub Mensik wins: Jakub Mensik
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Carlos Alcaraz wins: Carlos Alcaraz 6¢
Range
1¢-6¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXATP-27USO-MEN
Sep 20, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
74¢
Spread
70¢
Reported volume
$189
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · US Open Men's Singles
Closes
Oct 5, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 74¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jakub Mensik wins the 2027 US Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 5, 2027
Identifier
KXATP-27USO-MEN
Event family
US Open Men's Singles.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Carlos Alcaraz wins: Carlos Alcaraz 6¢
Current share
—
Carlos Alcaraz wins: Carlos Alcaraz
kalshi · KXATP-27USO-ALC
Jannik Sinner wins: Jannik Sinner
kalshi · KXATP-27USO-SIN
Jakub Mensik wins: Jakub Mensik
kalshi · KXATP-27USO-MEN
Alex de Minaur wins: Alex de Minaur
kalshi · KXATP-27USO-DE
Jiri Lehecka wins: Jiri Lehecka
kalshi · KXATP-27USO-LEH
Andrey Rublev wins: Andrey Rublev
kalshi · KXATP-27USO-RUB
Casper Ruud wins: Casper Ruud
kalshi · KXATP-27USO-RUU
Valentin Vacherot wins: Valentin Vacherot
kalshi · KXATP-27USO-VAC
Novak Djokovic wins: Novak Djokovic
kalshi · KXATP-27USO-DJO
Arthur Fils wins: Arthur Fils
kalshi · KXATP-27USO-FIL
Taylor Fritz wins: Taylor Fritz
kalshi · KXATP-27USO-FRI
Rafael Jodar wins: Rafael Jodar
kalshi · KXATP-27USO-JOD
Daniil Medvedev wins: Daniil Medvedev
kalshi · KXATP-27USO-MED
Tommy Paul wins: Tommy Paul
kalshi · KXATP-27USO-PAU
Ben Shelton wins: Ben Shelton
kalshi · KXATP-27USO-SHE
Alexander Zverev wins: Alexander Zverev
kalshi · KXATP-27USO-ZVE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 74% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.