SimpleFunctions

Connor Hellebuyck wins for Vezina Trophy

Connor Hellebuyck wins: Connor Hellebuyck is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 11 inside Vezina Trophy.

Price history

4¢ current

+2¢
0¢5¢10¢
Sep 23, 2026Sep 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Connor Hellebuyck wins the NHL Vezina Trophy in the 2026-27 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Connor Hellebuyck wins: Connor Hellebuyck

Rank

#5 of 11

Leader

Ilya Sorokin wins: Ilya Sorokin 14¢

Range

1¢-14¢

Family volume

$5

Identifier

KXNHLVEZINA-27-CHELLEBUYCK37

Sep 26, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

4¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 26, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

4¢

Ask

17¢

Spread

13¢

24h volume

$10

Family rank

#5 of 11

11 outcomes · Vezina Trophy

Closes

Jul 7, 2027

Family volume

$5

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 17¢

Kalshi
13¢ spread
BidSize
4¢554
AskSize
17¢5
18¢2.0K
81¢3.1K
82¢26
83¢18

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Connor Hellebuyck wins the NHL Vezina Trophy in the 2026-27 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 7, 2027

Identifier

KXNHLVEZINA-27-CHELLEBUYCK37

SF Signal
SF Index
1007.73
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2015.5%

IY (No)

8.2%

Adj IY

1008%

CRI

16

Overround

-0.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2015.5%
8.2%
Adj IY
1008%
16
Overround
-0.4%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.