SimpleFunctions

Pakistan wins for West Indies vs Pakistan match

Pakistan wins: Pakistan is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 36¢ bid, 37¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside West Indies vs Pakistan match.

Price history

37¢ current

+35¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jul 15, 2026Jul 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Pakistan wins the West Indies vs Pakistan men's professional Test Series West Indies vs. Pakistan cricket match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Pakistan wins: Pakistan

Rank

#2 of 3

Leader

Draw/Tie wins: Draw/Tie 46¢

Range

16¢-46¢

Family volume

$648K

Identifier

KXTESTMATCH-26JUL251100PAKWI-PAK

Jul 27, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 4m ago

Implied probability

37¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 27, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 4m ago

Bid

36¢

Ask

37¢

Spread

24h volume

$333K

Family rank

#2 of 3

3 outcomes · West Indies vs Pakistan match

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Family volume

$648K

Orderbook snapshot

36 / 37¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
36¢81
35¢1.9K
34¢399
33¢10K
32¢10K
AskSize
37¢1.6K
38¢965
39¢191
40¢8.6K
41¢1.2K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Pakistan wins the West Indies vs Pakistan men's professional Test Series West Indies vs. Pakistan cricket match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Identifier

KXTESTMATCH-26JUL251100PAKWI-PAK

SF Signal
SF Index
12709.27
Regime
neutral

Event family

West Indies vs Pakistan match.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$648K

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Draw/Tie wins: Draw/Tie 46¢

Current share

51%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

2

VR

1.11

IAR

2.5/h

Overround

-0.0%

LAS

0.03

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2
VR
1.11
IAR
2.5/h
Overround
-0.0%
LAS
0.03

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.