Before 2027 · When will IShowSpeed reach 100 million Youtube subscribers?: Before 20
Before 2027 is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 4 inside When will IShowSpeed reach 100 million Youtube subscribers?: Before 20.
Price history
5¢ current
Contract brief
If @IShowSpeed has at least 100,000,000 subscribers before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before 2027
Rank
#4 of 4
Leader
Before 2030 68¢
Range
5¢-68¢
Family volume
$12
Identifier
KXYTUBESUBSISHOWSPEED-27
Jun 23, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
5¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
9¢
24h volume
$9
Family rank
#4 of 4
4 outcomes · When will IShowSpeed reach 100 million Youtube subscribers?: Before 20
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$12
Orderbook snapshot
5 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If @IShowSpeed has at least 100,000,000 subscribers before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXYTUBESUBSISHOWSPEED-27
Event family
When will IShowSpeed reach 100 million Youtube subscribers?: Before 20.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$12
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Before 2030 68¢
Current share
71%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.