Before Sep 5, 2026 · When will Shein officially announce an IPO?: Before
Before Sep 5, 2026 is priced at 48¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 43¢ bid, 50¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 9 inside When will Shein officially announce an IPO?: Before.
Price history
48¢ current
Contract brief
If Shein confirms an IPO before Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Sep 5, 2026
Rank
#8 of 9
Leader
Before Dec 5, 2026 77¢
Range
25¢-77¢
Family volume
$437
Identifier
KXIPOSHEIN-DATE-26SEP05
Aug 9, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
43¢
Ask
50¢
Spread
7¢
24h volume
$201
Family rank
#8 of 9
9 outcomes · When will Shein officially announce an IPO?: Before
Closes
Sep 5, 2026
Family volume
$437
Orderbook snapshot
43 / 50¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Shein confirms an IPO before Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 5, 2026
Identifier
KXIPOSHEIN-DATE-26SEP05
Event family
When will Shein officially announce an IPO?: Before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$437
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Before Dec 5, 2026 77¢
Current share
46%
Before Dec 5, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOSHEIN-DATE-26DEC05
Before Nov 28, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOSHEIN-DATE-26NOV28
Before Nov 14, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOSHEIN-DATE-26NOV14
Before Oct 31, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOSHEIN-DATE-26OCT31
Before Oct 17, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOSHEIN-DATE-26OCT17
Before Oct 3, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOSHEIN-DATE-26OCT03
Before Sep 19, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOSHEIN-DATE-26SEP19
Before Sep 5, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOSHEIN-DATE-26SEP05
Before Aug 22, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOSHEIN-DATE-26AUG22
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 48% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.