SimpleFunctions

Where will Ayyoub Bouaddi go next

PSG is priced at 95¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 95¢ ask, 95¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Where will Ayyoub Bouaddi go next.

Price history

95¢ current

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jun 15, 2026Jun 20, 2026

Contract brief

If Ayyoub Bouaddi's next club is PSG before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

PSG

Rank

#1 of 3

Leader

PSG 95¢

Range

13¢-95¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02ABOUDDI-PSG

Jun 25, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

95¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

Ask

95¢

Spread

95¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#1 of 3

3 outcomes · Where will Ayyoub Bouaddi go next

Closes

Oct 9, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 95¢

Kalshi
95¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
95¢40
96¢50
97¢67
98¢100
99¢551

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Ayyoub Bouaddi's next club is PSG before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 9, 2026

Identifier

KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02ABOUDDI-PSG

SF Signal
SF Index
3271.41
Regime
neutral

Event family

Where will Ayyoub Bouaddi go next.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

3

Highest price

PSG 95¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

18.1%

IY (No)

6542.8%

Adj IY

3271%

CRI

19

Overround

1.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

18.1%
6542.8%
Adj IY
3271%
19
Overround
1.0%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.