Where will Enzo Fernandez go next
Manchester City is priced at 89¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 75¢ bid, 88¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Where will Enzo Fernandez go next.
Price history
89¢ current
+54¢Contract brief
If Enzo Fernandez's next club is Manchester City before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Manchester City
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Manchester City 75¢
Range
2¢-75¢
Family volume
$59
Identifier
KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02EFERNANDEZ-MCI
Aug 26, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
75¢
Ask
88¢
Spread
13¢
24h volume
$58
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · Where will Enzo Fernandez go next
Closes
Oct 9, 2026
Family volume
$59
Orderbook snapshot
75 / 88¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Enzo Fernandez's next club is Manchester City before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 9, 2026
Identifier
KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02EFERNANDEZ-MCI
Event family
Where will Enzo Fernandez go next.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$59
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Manchester City 75¢
Current share
98%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.