SimpleFunctions

Where will Mohamed Salah go next

Al-Ittihad is priced at 28¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 10 inside Where will Mohamed Salah go next.

Price history

28¢ current

+22¢
10¢20¢30¢
May 26, 2026Jun 22, 2026

Contract brief

If Mohamed Salah's next club is Al-Ittihad before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Al-Ittihad

Rank

#2 of 10

Leader

Al Hilal 21¢

Range

2¢-21¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02MSALAH-ITJ

Jun 25, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 21m ago

Implied probability

28¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 21m ago

Bid

18¢

Ask

27¢

Spread

Reported volume

$1K

Family rank

#2 of 10

10 outcomes · Where will Mohamed Salah go next

Closes

Oct 9, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

18 / 27¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
100¢13
18¢5
17¢200
2¢301
AskSize
27¢5
28¢200
83¢50
84¢595
91¢111

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Mohamed Salah's next club is Al-Ittihad before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 9, 2026

Identifier

KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02MSALAH-ITJ

SF Signal
SF Index
785.77
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1571.5%

IY (No)

75.7%

Adj IY

786%

CRI

5

Overround

-0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1571.5%
75.7%
Adj IY
786%
5
Overround
-0.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.