Where will Mohamed Salah go next
Al Hilal is priced at 21¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 10 inside Where will Mohamed Salah go next.
Price history
21¢ current
−5¢Contract brief
If Mohamed Salah's next club is Al Hilal before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Al Hilal
Rank
#1 of 10
Leader
Al Hilal 21¢
Range
2¢-21¢
Family volume
$125
Identifier
KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02MSALAH-HIL
Jun 25, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
21¢
Ask
27¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$732
Family rank
#1 of 10
10 outcomes · Where will Mohamed Salah go next
Closes
Oct 9, 2026
Family volume
$125
Orderbook snapshot
21 / 27¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Mohamed Salah's next club is Al Hilal before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 9, 2026
Identifier
KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02MSALAH-HIL
Event family
Where will Mohamed Salah go next.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$125
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Al Hilal 21¢
Current share
0%
Al Hilal
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02MSALAH-HIL
Al-Ittihad
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02MSALAH-ITJ
Galatasaray
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02MSALAH-GAL
Napoli
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02MSALAH-NAP
Juventus
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02MSALAH-JUV
PSG
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02MSALAH-PSG
Roma
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02MSALAH-ROM
Liverpool
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02MSALAH-LFC
Al Nassr
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02MSALAH-ALN
Inter Miami
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02MSALAH-MIA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 21% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.