Where will Romelu Lukaku go next
Galatasaray Istanbul is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 13 inside Where will Romelu Lukaku go next.
Price history
6¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If Romelu Lukaku's next club is Galatasaray Istanbul before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Galatasaray Istanbul
Rank
#2 of 13
Leader
Napoli 40¢
Range
1¢-40¢
Family volume
$45
Identifier
KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLUKAKU-GAL
Jun 25, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
8¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$1
Family rank
#2 of 13
13 outcomes · Where will Romelu Lukaku go next
Closes
Oct 9, 2026
Family volume
$45
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 8¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Romelu Lukaku's next club is Galatasaray Istanbul before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 9, 2026
Identifier
KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLUKAKU-GAL
Event family
Where will Romelu Lukaku go next.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$45
Outcomes
13
Highest price
Napoli 40¢
Current share
2%
Napoli
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLUKAKU-NAP
Inter
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLUKAKU-INT
Juventus
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLUKAKU-JUV
Galatasaray Istanbul
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLUKAKU-GAL
AC Milan
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLUKAKU-ACM
Everton
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLUKAKU-EVE
Fenerbahce Istanbul
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLUKAKU-FEN
Manchester United
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLUKAKU-MUN
Al Ahli Saudi
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLUKAKU-AAS
Al Nassr
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLUKAKU-ALN
Al Hilal
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLUKAKU-HIL
Al-Ittihad
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLUKAKU-ITJ
Roma
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLUKAKU-ROM
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.