Which Pro Football coaches will be out before Sep 1, 2026
Mike Vrabel is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside Which Pro Football coaches will be out before Sep 1, 2026.
Price history
6¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
If the head coach of the New England pro football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Mike Vrabel
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Mike Vrabel 5¢
Range
1¢-5¢
Family volume
$236
Identifier
KXCOACHOUTNFL-26SEP01-MVRA
Jun 23, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
5¢
Ask
6¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$226
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · Which Pro Football coaches will be out before Sep 1, 2026
Closes
Sep 1, 2026
Family volume
$236
Orderbook snapshot
5 / 6¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the head coach of the New England pro football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 1, 2026
Identifier
KXCOACHOUTNFL-26SEP01-MVRA
Event family
Which Pro Football coaches will be out before Sep 1, 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$236
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Mike Vrabel 5¢
Current share
96%
Mike Vrabel
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTNFL-26SEP01-MVRA
Matt LaFleur
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTNFL-26SEP01-MLAF
Dave Canales
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTNFL-26SEP01-DCAN
Aaron Glenn
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTNFL-26SEP01-AGLE
Andy Reid
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTNFL-26SEP01-AREI
Ben Johnson
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTNFL-26SEP01-BJOH
Brian Schottenheimer
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTNFL-26SEP01-BSCHO
Dan Campbell
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTNFL-26SEP01-DCAM
Dan Quinn
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTNFL-26SEP01-DQUI
DeMeco Ryans
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTNFL-26SEP01-DRYA
Jim Harbaugh
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTNFL-26SEP01-JIHA
Kellen Moore
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTNFL-26SEP01-KMOO
Kevin O'Connell
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTNFL-26SEP01-KOCO
Kyle Shanahan
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTNFL-26SEP01-KSHA
Liam Coen
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTNFL-26SEP01-LCOE
Mike Macdonald
kalshi · KXCOACHOUTNFL-26SEP01-MMAC
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Cross-Venue Convergence Dynamics: Why Kalshi and Polymarket Converge — and When They Don't
Why the same outcome on Kalshi and Polymarket usually trades within 2-5 cents — and the three specific things that cause the gap to widen. Diagnostic guide and worked convergence trade.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 6% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.