Who will be People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026
Bad Bunny is priced at 32¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside Who will be People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026.
Price history
32¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If Bad Bunny is People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Bad Bunny
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Bad Bunny 31¢
Range
1¢-31¢
Family volume
$408
Identifier
KXSEXYMAN-26-BAD
Jun 25, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
31¢
Ask
36¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$198
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · Who will be People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$408
Orderbook snapshot
31 / 36¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Bad Bunny is People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXSEXYMAN-26-BAD
Event family
Who will be People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$408
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Bad Bunny 31¢
Current share
49%
Bad Bunny
kalshi · KXSEXYMAN-26-BAD
Michael B. Jordan
kalshi · KXSEXYMAN-26-MIC
Zohran Mamdani
kalshi · KXSEXYMAN-26-ZOH
Chris Evans
kalshi · KXSEXYMAN-26-CHR
Pedro Pascal
kalshi · KXSEXYMAN-26-PPAS
Ryan Gosling
kalshi · KXSEXYMAN-26-RYA
Timothée Chalamet
kalshi · KXSEXYMAN-26-TIM
Jason Kelce
kalshi · KXSEXYMAN-26-JKEL
Josh Allen
kalshi · KXSEXYMAN-26-JOS
Shawn Mendes
kalshi · KXSEXYMAN-26-SMEN
Travis Kelce
kalshi · KXSEXYMAN-26-TRA
David Corenswet
kalshi · KXSEXYMAN-26-DAV
Drake
kalshi · KXSEXYMAN-26-DRA
Harry Styles
kalshi · KXSEXYMAN-26-HSTY
Jimmy Garoppolo
kalshi · KXSEXYMAN-26-JIM
Oscar Isaac
kalshi · KXSEXYMAN-26-OSC
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
maker
Score
0.295
Observability
none
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 32% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.