Who will dissent at the September 2026 FOMC meeting
Lorie Logan is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 33¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 12 inside Who will dissent at the September 2026 FOMC meeting.
Price history
38¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
If Lorie Logan formally dissented at the September 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Lorie Logan
Rank
#3 of 12
Leader
Beth Hammack 58¢
Range
4¢-58¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXFEDDISSENT-26SEP-LORI
Aug 16, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
33¢
Ask
38¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#3 of 12
12 outcomes · Who will dissent at the September 2026 FOMC meeting
Closes
Sep 16, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
33 / 38¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Lorie Logan formally dissented at the September 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 16, 2026
Identifier
KXFEDDISSENT-26SEP-LORI
Event family
Who will dissent at the September 2026 FOMC meeting.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Beth Hammack 58¢
Current share
—
Beth Hammack
kalshi · KXFEDDISSENT-26SEP-BETH
Neel Kashkari
kalshi · KXFEDDISSENT-26SEP-NEEL
Lorie Logan
kalshi · KXFEDDISSENT-26SEP-LORI
Christopher Waller
kalshi · KXFEDDISSENT-26SEP-CHRI
Michelle Bowman
kalshi · KXFEDDISSENT-26SEP-MICH
Jerome Powell
kalshi · KXFEDDISSENT-26SEP-JERO
Michael Barr
kalshi · KXFEDDISSENT-26SEP-MBAR
Lisa Cook
kalshi · KXFEDDISSENT-26SEP-LISA
Kevin Warsh
kalshi · KXFEDDISSENT-26SEP-KEVI
John Williams
kalshi · KXFEDDISSENT-26SEP-JOHN
Philip Jefferson
kalshi · KXFEDDISSENT-26SEP-PHIL
Anna Paulson
kalshi · KXFEDDISSENT-26SEP-ANNA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.