SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 207015943 days left

Who will the next Pope be?

This contract is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

4¢
$13K volume
$3K liquidity
1345100% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$1

Best sibling

Anders Arborelius 3¢

Ticker

KXNEWPOPE-70-MZUP

Market snapshot

Matteo Zuppi in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Who will the next Pope be?. The displayed quote is 4¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $13K. In the Who will the next Pope be family, this outcome ranks #3 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Matteo Zuppi

Family rank

#3 of 7

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2070

Reported volume

$13K

Family context

7 outcomes · Who will the next Pope be

Quote range

3¢-5¢

Family leader

Pietro Parolin 5¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 1m ago

Venue identifier: KXNEWPOPE-70-MZUP. Family volume: $1.

Price history

4¢ current

1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026Apr 30, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 7¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
100¢326
4¢1.8K
3¢1.0K
3¢1.0K
2¢2.0K
AskSize
7¢100
7¢6
7¢400
7¢1.0K
9¢405

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Matteo Zuppi becomes the first person elected Pope before Jan 1, 2070, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2070

Identifier

KXNEWPOPE-70-MZUP

Event family

Who will the next Pope be.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$1

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Pietro Parolin 5¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

54.9%

IY (No)

0.1%

Adj IY

27%

CRI

24

Overround

-0.7%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

54.9%
0.1%
Adj IY
27%
24
Overround
-0.7%

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