SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 31, 2026236 days left

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

This contract is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

15¢
$14K volume
$10K liquidity
2041% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$664

Best sibling

Cameron Young 19¢

Ticker

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-MFIT

Market snapshot

Matt Fitzpatrick in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?. The displayed quote is 15¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $14K. In the Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026 family, this outcome ranks #7 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Matt Fitzpatrick

Family rank

#7 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

15¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

Reported volume

$14K

Family context

16 outcomes · Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026

Quote range

2¢-47¢

Family leader

Scottie Scheffler 47¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 8m ago

Venue identifier: KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-MFIT. Family volume: $664.

Price history

15¢ current

+6¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 14¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
11¢2.5K
10¢4.9K
5¢794
3¢52
2¢2.0K
AskSize
14¢10
15¢3.9K
16¢300
18¢2.2K
19¢2.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Matt Fitzpatrick wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-MFIT

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1249.2%

IY (No)

19.1%

Adj IY

1249%

CRI

8

RV

1009%

VR

2.98

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

none

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

1249.2%
19.1%
Adj IY
1249%
8
RV
1009%
VR
2.98
IAR
1.5/h
Overround
1.8%

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