SimpleFunctions

Bob Chesney in College Football Coach of the Year

Bob Chesney is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside Who will win College Football Coach of the Year.

Price history

11¢ current

+5¢
0¢10¢
May 29, 2026Jun 18, 2026

Contract brief

If Bob Chesney wins the Bear Bryant Coach of the Year award in 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Bob Chesney

Rank

#4 of 16

Leader

Mario Cristobal 6¢

Range

1¢-6¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXNCAAFCOTY-27-BCHE

Jun 29, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 27m ago

Implied probability

11¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 29, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 27m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$3K

Family rank

#4 of 16

16 outcomes · Who will win College Football Coach of the Year

Closes

Jan 29, 2027

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 9¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
3¢15
2¢718
AskSize
9¢557
10¢500
45¢187
47¢1.1K
48¢31

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Bob Chesney wins the Bear Bryant Coach of the Year award in 2026-27 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 29, 2027

Identifier

KXNCAAFCOTY-27-BCHE

SF Signal
SF Index
2749.45
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5498.9%

IY (No)

5.3%

Adj IY

2749%

CRI

32

Overround

-0.5%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

5498.9%
5.3%
Adj IY
2749%
32
Overround
-0.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.