Cale Makar in Hart Memorial Trophy
Cale Makar is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 15 inside Who will win Hart Memorial Trophy.
Price history
13¢ current
Contract brief
If Cale Makar wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2026-27 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Cale Makar
Rank
#7 of 15
Leader
Matthew Tkachuk 30¢
Range
1¢-30¢
Family volume
$59
Identifier
KXNHLHART-27-CMAKAR8
Sep 19, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
4¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$14
Family rank
#7 of 15
15 outcomes · Who will win Hart Memorial Trophy
Closes
Jun 30, 2027
Family volume
$59
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 4¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Cale Makar wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2026-27 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 30, 2027
Identifier
KXNHLHART-27-CMAKAR8
Event family
Who will win Hart Memorial Trophy.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$59
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Matthew Tkachuk 30¢
Current share
0%
Matthew Tkachuk
kalshi · KXNHLHART-27-MTKACHUK19
Mitch Marner
kalshi · KXNHLHART-27-MMARNER93
Sidney Crosby
kalshi · KXNHLHART-27-SCROSBY87
Macklin Celebrini
kalshi · KXNHLHART-27-MCELEBRINI71
Nathan MacKinnon
kalshi · KXNHLHART-27-NMACKINNON29
Connor McDavid
kalshi · KXNHLHART-27-CMCDAVID97
Cale Makar
kalshi · KXNHLHART-27-CMAKAR8
Connor Bedard
kalshi · KXNHLHART-27-CBEDARD98
Auston Matthews
kalshi · KXNHLHART-27-AMATTHEWS34
Kirill Kaprizov
kalshi · KXNHLHART-27-KKAPRIZOV97
Nikita Kucherov
kalshi · KXNHLHART-27-NKUCHEROV86
Nick Suzuki
kalshi · KXNHLHART-27-NSUZUKI14
Leon Draisaitl
kalshi · KXNHLHART-27-LDRAISAITL29
Jack Hughes
kalshi · KXNHLHART-27-JHUGHES86
Quinn Hughes
kalshi · KXNHLHART-27-QHUGHES43
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.