Bo French in the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner Election
Bo French is priced at 67¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 64¢ bid, 70¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Who will win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner Election.
Price history
67¢ current
−3¢Contract brief
If Bo French wins the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner Election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Bo French
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Bo French 64¢
Range
30¢-64¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXTXRAILROAD-26-BFRE
Aug 16, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
64¢
Ask
70¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · Who will win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner Election
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
64 / 70¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Bo French wins the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner Election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXTXRAILROAD-26-BFRE
Event family
Who will win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner Election.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Bo French 64¢
Current share
—
Bo French
kalshi · KXTXRAILROAD-26-BFRE
Jon Rosenthal
kalshi · KXTXRAILROAD-26-JROS
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
none
Event type
political
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 67% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.