Sheldon Neeley in the Flint, Michigan mayoral election
Sheldon Neeley is priced at 83¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 79¢ bid, 82¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Who will win the Flint, Michigan mayoral election.
Price history
83¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Sheldon Neeley wins the 2026 Flint, Michigan mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Sheldon Neeley
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Sheldon Neeley 79¢
Range
3¢-79¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXFLINTMAYOR-26-SNEE
Aug 24, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
79¢
Ask
82¢
Spread
3¢
Reported volume
$211
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · Who will win the Flint, Michigan mayoral election
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
79 / 82¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Sheldon Neeley wins the 2026 Flint, Michigan mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXFLINTMAYOR-26-SNEE
Event family
Who will win the Flint, Michigan mayoral election.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Sheldon Neeley 79¢
Current share
—
Sheldon Neeley
kalshi · KXFLINTMAYOR-26-SNEE
Tonya Burns
kalshi · KXFLINTMAYOR-26-TBUR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
political
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.