Xavier Becerra in the governorship in California
Xavier Becerra is priced at 95¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 95¢ bid, 95¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Who will win the governorship in California.
Price history
95¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If Xavier Becerra is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Xavier Becerra
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Xavier Becerra 95¢
Range
5¢-95¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXGOVCA-26-XBEC
Jul 26, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
95¢
Ask
95¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$229
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · Who will win the governorship in California
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
95 / 95¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Xavier Becerra is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXGOVCA-26-XBEC
Event family
Who will win the governorship in California.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Xavier Becerra 95¢
Current share
10%
Xavier Becerra
kalshi · KXGOVCA-26-XBEC
Steve Hilton
kalshi · KXGOVCA-26-SHIL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.55
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.