SimpleFunctions
KalshiNov 3, 2026178 days left

Will a one-time tax on billionaires be held in California before Nov 3, 2026?

This contract is priced at 90¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 90¢ bid, 93¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

90¢
$69K volume
$28K liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$69K

Best sibling

Ticker

KXCABILLIONAIRETAX-26NOV03

Market snapshot

Will a one-time tax on billionaires be held in California before Nov 3, 2026 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will a one-time tax on billionaires be held in California before Nov 3, 2026?. The displayed quote is 90¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $1K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Will a one-time tax on billionaires be held in California before Nov 3, 2026

Family rank

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

90¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Nov 3, 2026

24h volume

$1K

Family context

Standalone contract

Quote range

Family leader

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 14m ago

Venue identifier: KXCABILLIONAIRETAX-26NOV03. Family volume: $69K.

Price history

90¢ current

+16¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 10, 2026May 6, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

90 / 93¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
90¢2.5K
86¢250
84¢500
78¢16
75¢30
AskSize
93¢116
93¢6
94¢250
94¢14
95¢908

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2026

Identifier

KXCABILLIONAIRETAX-26NOV03

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at 44¢, +46¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Event family

This market.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$69K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will a one-time tax on billionaires be held in California before Nov 3, 2026 90¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

22.8%
1846.4%
Adj IY
892%
9
LAS
0.03

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