Barb Regnitz · HOUSEIN1-26
Barb Regnitz is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside HOUSEIN1-26.
Price history
8¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If the House member sworn in for IN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Barb Regnitz
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Frank Mrvan 91¢
Range
7¢-91¢
Family volume
$524
Identifier
HOUSEIN1-26-R
Aug 27, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
9¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$510
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · HOUSEIN1-26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$524
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 9¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the House member sworn in for IN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
HOUSEIN1-26-R
Event family
HOUSEIN1-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$524
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Frank Mrvan 91¢
Current share
97%
Frank Mrvan
kalshi · HOUSEIN1-26-D
Barb Regnitz
kalshi · HOUSEIN1-26-R
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.