SimpleFunctions

The Bachelorette Season 22 · KXBROADCASTBACHELORETTE-27JAN01

The Bachelorette Season 22 is priced at 52¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 51¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 15¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

52¢ current

21¢
25¢50¢75¢
May 24, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If ABC Television Network has aired any episode of The Bachelorette Season 22 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

The Bachelorette Season 22

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$17

Identifier

KXBROADCASTBACHELORETTE-27JAN01-ABC

Jun 23, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

52¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

51¢

Ask

66¢

Spread

15¢

24h volume

$17

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$17

Orderbook snapshot

51 / 66¢

Kalshi
15¢ spread
BidSize
51¢24
50¢281
43¢200
41¢250
40¢40
AskSize
66¢11
67¢30
69¢1
70¢9
81¢8

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If ABC Television Network has aired any episode of The Bachelorette Season 22 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXBROADCASTBACHELORETTE-27JAN01-ABC

SF Signal
SF Index
198.15
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXBROADCASTBACHELORETTE-27JAN01.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$17

Outcomes

1

Highest price

The Bachelorette Season 22 51¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

182.9%

IY (No)

198.2%

Adj IY

198%

CRI

1

RV

245%

VR

1.63

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

182.9%
198.2%
Adj IY
198%
1
RV
245%
VR
1.63
IAR
0.4/h

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.