Agentic · KXWORDOFTHEYEAR-26DEC
Agentic is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 8 inside KXWORDOFTHEYEAR-26DEC.
Price history
3¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
If Agentic is the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Agentic
Rank
#6 of 8
Leader
larping 12¢
Range
1¢-12¢
Family volume
$100
Identifier
KXWORDOFTHEYEAR-26DEC-AGE
Sep 12, 2026, 6:52 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
4¢
Spread
3¢
Reported volume
$731
Family rank
#6 of 8
8 outcomes · KXWORDOFTHEYEAR-26DEC
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$100
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 4¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Agentic is the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXWORDOFTHEYEAR-26DEC-AGE
Event family
KXWORDOFTHEYEAR-26DEC.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$100
Outcomes
8
Highest price
larping 12¢
Current share
0%
larping
kalshi · KXWORDOFTHEYEAR-26DEC-LAR
Brainrot
kalshi · KXWORDOFTHEYEAR-26DEC-BRA
Vibe
kalshi · KXWORDOFTHEYEAR-26DEC-VIB
Performative
kalshi · KXWORDOFTHEYEAR-26DEC-PER
AI
kalshi · KXWORDOFTHEYEAR-26DEC-AI
Agentic
kalshi · KXWORDOFTHEYEAR-26DEC-AGE
Lore
kalshi · KXWORDOFTHEYEAR-26DEC-LOR
Semiquincentennial
kalshi · KXWORDOFTHEYEAR-26DEC-SEM
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 3% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.