Alabama · KXNCAAFQF-27
Alabama is priced at 18¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 30¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside KXNCAAFQF-27.
Price history
18¢ current
−8¢Contract brief
If Alabama qualifies for the College Football Playoff Quarterfinals in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Alabama
Rank
#9 of 16
Leader
Oregon 37¢
Range
2¢-37¢
Family volume
$737
Identifier
KXNCAAFQF-27-ALA
Jul 27, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
33¢
Spread
30¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#9 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNCAAFQF-27
Closes
Jan 31, 2027
Family volume
$737
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 33¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Alabama qualifies for the College Football Playoff Quarterfinals in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 31, 2027
Identifier
KXNCAAFQF-27-ALA
Event family
KXNCAAFQF-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$737
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Oregon 37¢
Current share
0%
Oregon
kalshi · KXNCAAFQF-27-ORE
Texas
kalshi · KXNCAAFQF-27-TEX
Miami (FL)
kalshi · KXNCAAFQF-27-MIA
Indiana
kalshi · KXNCAAFQF-27-IND
LSU
kalshi · KXNCAAFQF-27-LSU
BYU
kalshi · KXNCAAFQF-27-BYU
California
kalshi · KXNCAAFQF-27-CAL
SMU
kalshi · KXNCAAFQF-27-SMU
Alabama
kalshi · KXNCAAFQF-27-ALA
Auburn
kalshi · KXNCAAFQF-27-AUB
Clemson
kalshi · KXNCAAFQF-27-CLEM
Iowa
kalshi · KXNCAAFQF-27-IOWA
Oklahoma
kalshi · KXNCAAFQF-27-OKLA
Arkansas
kalshi · KXNCAAFQF-27-ARK
Florida
kalshi · KXNCAAFQF-27-FLA
Michigan
kalshi · KXNCAAFQF-27-MICH
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.