Alabama win at least 7 games this season
7+ wins is priced at 74¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 57¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 34¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 7 inside Will Alabama win at least.
Price history
74¢ current
+72¢Contract brief
If the Alabama college football team has at least 7 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
7+ wins
Rank
#3 of 7
Leader
6+ wins 67¢
Range
1¢-67¢
Family volume
$249
Identifier
KXNCAAFWINS-26ALA-7
May 25, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
57¢
Ask
91¢
Spread
34¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#3 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Alabama win at least
Closes
Dec 20, 2026
Family volume
$249
Orderbook snapshot
57 / 91¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Alabama college football team has at least 7 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 20, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAAFWINS-26ALA-7
Event family
Will Alabama win at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$249
Outcomes
7
Highest price
6+ wins 67¢
Current share
0%
6+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26ALA-6
8+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26ALA-8
7+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26ALA-7
9+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26ALA-9
10+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26ALA-10
11+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26ALA-11
12 wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26ALA-12
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.