SimpleFunctions

Alden Coria · KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL18CORNIC

Alden Coria is priced at 88¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 87¢ bid, 88¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL18CORNIC.

Price history

88¢ current

+1¢
85¢90¢
Jul 12, 2026Jul 13, 2026

Contract brief

If Alden Coria wins the Coria vs Nicoll professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Alden Coria

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Alden Coria 87¢

Range

12¢-87¢

Family volume

$10K

Identifier

KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL18CORNIC-COR

Jul 13, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 9m ago

Implied probability

88¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 13, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 9m ago

Bid

87¢

Ask

88¢

Spread

24h volume

$488

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL18CORNIC

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Family volume

$10K

Orderbook snapshot

87 / 88¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
87¢276
86¢2.2K
85¢678
84¢2.3K
83¢1.5K
AskSize
88¢5.5K
89¢1.1K
90¢7.6K
91¢14K
92¢4.8K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Alden Coria wins the Coria vs Nicoll professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Identifier

KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL18CORNIC-COR

SF Signal
SF Index
12446.21
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL18CORNIC.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$10K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Alden Coria 87¢

Current share

5%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

277.9%

IY (No)

12446.2%

Adj IY

12446%

CRI

7

RV

192%

VR

1.15

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

277.9%
12446.2%
Adj IY
12446%
7
RV
192%
VR
1.15
IAR
2.0/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.