SimpleFunctions

Alice Tubello to win the Vekic vs Tubello

Will Alice Tubello win the Vekic vs Tubello: Round Of 128 match is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

25¢ current

+16¢
10¢20¢
May 21, 2026May 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Alice Tubello wins the Vekic vs Tubello professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will Alice Tubello win the Vekic vs Tubello: Round Of 128 match

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$62

Identifier

KXWTAMATCH-26MAY24VEKTUB-TUB

May 24, 2026, 10:20 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

25¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 10:20 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

25¢

Ask

26¢

Spread

Reported volume

$62

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Jun 7, 2026

Family volume

$62

Orderbook snapshot

25 / 26¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
25¢4.0K
24¢4.1K
23¢1.5K
22¢159
21¢1.0K
AskSize
26¢1.4K
27¢2.7K
28¢7.3K
29¢6.6K
31¢161

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Alice Tubello wins the Vekic vs Tubello professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 7, 2026

Identifier

KXWTAMATCH-26MAY24VEKTUB-TUB

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$62

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will Alice Tubello win the Vekic vs Tubello: Round Of 128 match 25¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.