Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Chennai Grand Masters chess tournament
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Chennai Grand Masters chess tournament is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 98¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
99¢ current
+74¢Contract brief
If Alireza Firouzja wins the 2026 Chennai Grand Masters chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Chennai Grand Masters chess tournament
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$13K
Identifier
KXCHESSTOURNAMENT-26CHGM-AFIR
Jul 25, 2026, 10:46 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
98¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jul 30, 2026
Family volume
$13K
Orderbook snapshot
98 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Alireza Firouzja wins the 2026 Chennai Grand Masters chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 30, 2026
Identifier
KXCHESSTOURNAMENT-26CHGM-AFIR
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$13K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Chennai Grand Masters chess tournament 99¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 99% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.